OT (Oil Topic) RICHARDSON SAYS TO MEET U.S. REFINERS FRI, WANTS REFINERY CAPACITY AT 90 PCT

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RICHARDSON SAYS TO MEET U.S. REFINERS FRI, WANTS REFINERY
CAPACITY AT 90 PCT

WASHINGTON, March 9 (Reuters) - U.S. Energy Secretary Bill Richardson said Thursday he would meet on Friday with American oil refiners and encourage them to boost production above the 90 percent utilization level to meet gasoline demand.

"We want them to be at 90-plus (percent) capacity," Richardson told reporters after testifying before a Senate Armed Services subcommittee hearing on atomic energy spending. U.S. refinery utilization was at 88 percent for the week ended March 3, according to the latest government data.

© copyright 2000 Reuters, Ltd.



-- Possible Impact (posim@hotmail.com), March 09, 2000

Answers

What is the usual level of refinery utilization?

Is 90% a realistic goal, or would we start having problems with potential breakdowns?

It sounds like the problem is that, since gasoline stocks were so depleted from sheer stupidity, we just can't make enough gas at this point with the refineries we have.

Sigh.

-- lurker (im@just.curious), March 09, 2000.


Lurker,

Prior to rollover there was an excess in worldwide refining capacity. After the rollover there has been an unusually high number of unplanned refinery outages adding to the energy crisis.

Four Week Averages Daily Averages Ending Petroleum Supply % ---------------- % (Thousand Barrels per Day) 03/03/00 03/03/99 Chg 2000 1999 Chg ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Crude Oil Supply Domestic Production (1) ........ E5,991 5,989 0.0 Net Imports (Incl SPR) (2) ..... 8,133 8,296 -2.0 Gross Imports (Excl SPR) ..... 8,241 8,414 -2.1 SPR Imports .................. 0 0 -- Exports ...................... E108 117 -7.7 SPR Stocks W/D or Added ........ -14 0 -- Other Stocks W/D or Added ...... -160 -53 -- Product Supplied and Losses .... E0 0 -- Unaccounted-for Crude Oil (3)... 117 203 -- Crude Oil Input to Refineries... 14,068 14,435 -2.5

http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/weekly_ petroleum_status_report/current/txt/wpsr.txt

-- - (x@xxx.com), March 09, 2000.


trying the [Preformat Tag]...

Table 1.  U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet, 4 Weeks Ending 
03/03/00                 
                                                                      
          
                                                           
Cumulative           
                              Four Week Averages         Daily 
Averages         
                                     
Ending                                     
Petroleum Supply                                    %   --------------
--    %   
(Thousand Barrels per Day)     03/03/00 03/03/99   Chg    2000    
1999     Chg  
----------------------------------------------------------------------
--------  
Crude Oil 
Supply                                                                
Domestic Production (1) ........ E5,991   5,989    
0.0                          
Net Imports (Incl SPR) (2) .....  8,133   8,296   -
2.0                          
  Gross Imports (Excl SPR) .....  8,241   8,414   -
2.1                          
  SPR Imports ..................      0       0     --
                          
  Exports ......................   E108     117   -
7.7                          
SPR Stocks W/D or Added ........    -14       0     --
                          
Other Stocks W/D or Added ......   -160     -53     --
                          
Product Supplied and Losses ....     E0       0     --
                          
Unaccounted-for Crude Oil (3)...    117     203     --
                          
                                                                      
          
Crude Oil Input to Refineries... 14,068  14,435   -
2.5                          
                                                                      
          
Other 
Supply                                                                
    
Natural Gas Liquids Prod. (6)... E2,167   1,668   29.9  Cumulative 
daily
Other Liquids New Supply .......   E136     460  -70.4  averages will 
be shown
Crude Oil Product Supplied .....     E0       0    0.0  beginning 
with the week
Processing Gain ................   E844     846   -0.2  ending April 
7, 2000,
Net Product Imports (4) ........  1,373   1,302    5.5  issue when 
Petroleum
  Gross Product Imports (4) ....  2,218   1,941   14.3  Supply 
Monthly data for
  Product Exports (4) ..........   E845     638   32.4  January 2000 
become
Prod Stocks W/D or Added (5)....    349     547     --  available.
                                                                      
          
Tot Prod Supplied for Domestic.. 18,937  19,258   -
1.7                          
                                                                      
          
Products 
Supplied                                                              
 
Finished Motor Gasoline (6) ....  8,145   8,090    
0.7                          
Naphtha-Type Jet Fuel ..........      0       0    
0.0                          
Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel .........  1,598   1,728   -
7.5                          
Distillate Fuel Oil ............  3,682   3,638    
1.2                          
Residual Fuel Oil ..............    739     965  -
23.4                          
Other Oils (7) .................  4,774   4,836   -
1.3                          
                                                                      
          
Total Products Supplied ........ 18,937  19,258   -
1.7                          
                                                                      
          
Total Net Imports ..............  9,506   9,598   -
1.0                          
----------------------------------------------------------------------
--------  
Petroleum Stocks                                              Percent 
Chg from  
(Million Barrels)               03/03/00  02/25/00  03/03/99  Prev 
Wk   Yr Ago  
----------------------------------------------------------------------
--------  
Crude Oil (Excluding SPR) (8) ..   290.5     285.9     326.1      
1.6    -10.9  
Total Motor Gasoline ...........   201.0     196.5     227.1      
2.3    -11.5  
   Reformulated ................    37.7      35.4      43.5      
6.5    -13.3  
   Oxygenated ..................     0.7       0.8       1.0    -
12.5    -30.0  
   Other Finished ..............   117.0     116.5     133.2      
0.4    -12.2  
   Blending Components .........    45.5      43.9      49.4      
3.6     -7.9  
Naphtha-Type Jet Fuel ..........     0.0       0.0       0.0      
0.0      0.0  
Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel .........    42.0      44.0      44.7     -
4.5     -6.0  
Distillate Fuel Oil ............   102.7     101.0     141.2      
1.7    -27.3  
   0.05% Sulfur and under ......    63.1      61.4      73.7      
2.8    -14.4  
   Greater than 0.05% Sulfur ...    39.5      39.6      67.6     -
0.3    -41.6  
Residual Fuel Oil ..............    34.3      34.6      41.7     -
0.9    -17.7  
Unfinished Oils ................    90.3      89.6      93.3      
0.8     -3.2  
Other Oils (9) .................  E141.6    E143.2     178.2     -
1.1    -20.5  
                                                                      
          
Total Stocks (Excluding SPR) ...   902.4     894.8   1,052.4      
0.8    -14.3  
Crude Oil in SPR (10)...........   569.4     569.1     572.0      
0.1     -0.5  
Total Stocks (Including SPR) ... 1,471.8   1,463.9   1,624.4      
0.5     -9.4  
----------------------------------------------------------------------
--------  
E = Estimate based on data published for the most recent month in 
the           
"Petroleum Supply Monthly," except for exports,crude oil production 
and other   
oil 
stocks.                                                               
      
Weekly estimates of exports are forecast using an autoregressive 
integrated     
moving average procedure.  The most recent 5 years of data are used 
to obtain   
the forecasts.  Crude oil production estimates are based on 
historical          
production patterns.  Cumulative crude oil production values shown in 
the U.S.  
Petroleum Balance Sheet include revised estimates published in 
the "Petroleum   
Supply Monthly".  Other oils stocks data are derived by (1) computing 
an        
average daily rate of stock change for the minor products for each 
month based  
on monthly data for the past 6 years; (2) using this daily rate and 
the minor   
stock levels from the most recent monthly publication to estimate the 
minor     
product stock level for the current period.  Year ago data are 
interpolated     
from published monthly stock 
levels.                                            
                                                                      
          
                                                                      
          
 1  Includes lease 
condensate.                                                  
 2  Net Imports = Gross Imports + Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) 
Imports     
                  - 
Exports                                                     
 3  Unaccounted-for crude oil is a balancing item which is used to 
balance      
    data (or estimates) about supply with data (or estimates) 
about             
    
disposition.                                                          
      
 4  Includes finished petroleum products, unfinished oils, gasoline 
blending    
    components, and natural gas plant 
liquids.                                  
 5  Includes an estimate of minor product stock change based on 
monthly data    
 6  Includes field production of fuel ethanol and an adjustment for 
motor       
gasoline blending 
components.                                                   
 7  Includes crude oil product supplied, natural gas liquids, 
liquefied         
    refinery gases (LRGs), other liquids, and all finished petroleum 
products   
    except motor gasoline, jet fuels, and distillate and residual 
fuel oils.    
 8  Includes domestic and Customs-cleared foreign crude oil in 
transit to       
    
refineries.                                                           
      
 9  Included are stocks of all other oils such as aviation 
gasoline,            
    kerosene, natural gas liquids and LRGs, other hydrocarbons 
and              
    oxygenates, aviation gasoline blending components, naphtha and 
other        
    oils for petrochemical feedstock use, special naphthas, lube 
oils,          
    waxes, coke, asphalt, road oil, and miscellaneous 
oils.                     
10  Crude oil stocks in the SPR include Non-US stocks held under 
foreign or     
    commercial storage 
agreements.                                              
                                                                      
          
                                                                      
          
 Note: Due to independent rounding, individual product detail may not 
add to    
       
total.                                                                
   
                                                                      
          
 Sources: -- Current Year Monthly Data:  EIA, "Petroleum Supply 
Monthly"        
             and "Petroleum Supply 
Weekly".                                     
          -- Previous Year Data: EIA, "Petroleum Supply 
Annual".                


-- Possible Impact (posim@hotmail.com), March 09, 2000.

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