I'm cold up at 54 North, and would welcome a few flames here!

Here's my best guesses at what'll happen during/after rollover:

1. A small initial impact (1-3weeks) compounding failures lead to systemic failures by summer of 2000. 2. Increased terrorist actions, especially directed against population centres and critical infrastructures. 3. Local/regional economic devastation (depression) and global recession at the minimum. 4. Social distress and the institution of martial law in various locations of North America. Mass transport of refugees to shelters. 5. Nationalization of critical resources (oil?) and industries. 6. Rationing of food, gasoline and other essentials. 7. Pockets of malnutrition, disease and large-scale death by infrastructure failures. 8. The conflagration of local/regional "conflicts" into at least one regional total war. 9. Global chaos by autumn 2000.

What's that on a 1-10 scale?

-- (Kurt.Borzel@gems8.gov.bc.ca), December 01, 1999

Answers

I would say that sounds like somewhere between 8 and 9.5 on the scale. After hearing many opinions on this forum, I would frankly be somewhat relieved by your scenario. It is survivable at least. Some other scenarios are not. Thanks Kurt!

-- JoseMiami (caris@prodigy.net), December 01, 1999.

What is there to flame....???

Good analogy.....

It looks like you are going to be cold for a long time....:-)

No flame here.....

Bass

-- Bass (Bass000666@aol.com), December 01, 1999.

Glad I live in Canada. Just wish I lived further from the border.

-- Rob Lowe (kurt@yourcrazy.com), December 01, 1999.

Rob:

That's not the 1/2 of it... Try this (from my archives)

I asked an email question to Jeffry R. Nyquist (columnist for http://www.worldnetdaily.com ) concerning the likelihood of a Russian pre-emptive nuclear strike before the end of the year. His response is as follows:

The question you ask is difficult, requiring a great deal of detailed information. Y2K is not well understood. From talking to various experts I am convinced that nobody [in America] knows what will happen in Russia. Recent news from Moscow reveals that Russia has a special computer chip. It is possible they have had this chip longer than they are now claiming, and it is possible they were ahead of the Y2K curve all along. But who knows?

A window of opportunity for a surprise attack will open on the last Wednesday of 1999. It will probably remain open, depending on the Y2K outcome, for about one year. Russia and China can play out a crisis in any number of ways. The nuclear option is obviously being prepared for. That doesn't mean they've picked a date to attack. It might only mean they are afraid an attack might become necessary if certain political moves fail.

On the other hand, it is altogether possible they have picked a date, given that the indicators suggest massive war preparations on all three levels -- civilian, military, and economic. In my opinion that date will be a week day, it will be in winter, and it will be during the day -- Moscow time. It will not be on a holiday or weekend. This is only my opinion, based on calculations about the kinds of things the Russians need to be able to do at the last minute during a war emergency.

JRN

Think about that possibility for a minute...

-- (Kurt.Borzel@gems8.gov.bc.ca), December 01, 1999.

Go to bed Kurt. Your nuts!

FBI Bob

-- Crazy Benny (crazy@ibm.com), December 01, 1999.

When America goes to war with China over Taiwan, Russia will launch a sneak nuclear missile attack on the American coasts.

-- dinosaur (dinosaur@williams-net.com), December 02, 1999.

Kurt

Why the last Wednesday of 1999?

-- Me (me@me.me), December 02, 1999.

Sure hope he is nuts! If it gets this bad, I pray that the nuke will hit me right square in the middle of my noggin.

-- sceered ****less (sceered@myownshadow.net), December 02, 1999.