In censored form, I'm sure...

R.

www.fbi.gov/library/megiddo/publicmegiddo.pdf

-- Roland (nottelling@nowhere.com), November 02, 1999

Answers

And of course, it's PDF...

-- Roland (nottelling@nowhere.com), November 02, 1999.

-- never understood people's problem with PDF (get@clue.now), November 02, 1999.

What? No comments?

Will read now and provide my own, I guess.

R.

-- Roland (nottelling@nowhere.com), November 02, 1999.

Remember, this is the PUBLIC version.

Something in the original report is NOT in the one you will see.

-- hamster (hamster@mycage.com), November 02, 1999.

Correct, Hamster, I stated that up front.

One thing that occurs to me in reading this is...you are presenting this to a every Police Cheif in the country, most of whom have probably never even considered or heard of the NWO theories, UN takeover, gun confisaction, maritial law thing, let alone the religious angle.

Dateline January 5...things are really bad...martial law is declared, discontents rounded up, UN troops on the streets. If I was a cop and saw this unfolding with my newfound knowlege (courtesy of the FBI), I'D be thinking that the conspiracy wackos just might have been right.

IF, and that's a big IF, the NWO conspiracists are right, this document could backfire on them big-time...

R.

-- Roland (nottelling@nowhere.com), November 02, 1999.

The Jerusalem stuff at the end is really something to think about. Some nut is going to go bonkers in Israel and that might get something started.

The whole NWO, Bilderbergers, Trilat thing is funny because you can see some of the people here in the words they wrote in the report.

-- hamster (hamster@mycage.com), November 02, 1999.

The FBI has very effectively defined, and therefore labeled, me as a terrorist extremist. Me, a loving mother and wife and a caring nurse who worked long hours and worried long hours all her adult life, wanting nothing but cooperation among us for the well being of humankind, now and in the future.

The MEGGIDO paper begins with this statement on the third page under "Executive Summary":

"The fundamental problem is that the traditional focal point for counterterrorism analysis -- the terrorist group -- is not always well-defined or relevant in the current environment. The general trend in domestic extremism is the terrorists disavowal of traditional, hierarchical, and structured terrorist organizations. Even well-established militias, which tend to organize along military lines with central control, are characterized by factionalism and disunity."

So in effect, what they're saying here to the cops, is that absolutely ANYONE is to be considered a domestic terrorist extremist if they worry about Y2K or the turn of the millenium.

Well guys, I worry about Y2K. A lot.

-- Chris (#$%^&@pond.com), November 02, 1999.

No, only if you're right-wing or religious.

-- Dog Gone (layinglow@rollover.now), November 02, 1999.

Naming the project MEGGIDO was either vitriolic or prophetic.

-- snooze button (alarmclock_2000@yahoo.com), November 02, 1999.

Would someone make that a link so that I can
download it? Thanks in advance.

-- spider (spider0@usa.net), November 02, 1999.

What was I thinking. Sorry - Long hard day

Public Megido PDF

-- spider (spider0@usa.net), November 02, 1999.

I thought they did a good job of pinning down those who might actually cause trouble. If anything, there are probably more groups that are dangerous than they can watch. We may see something from out of the blue, some bunch of nuts no one ever heard of.

-- Forrest Covington (theforrest@mindspring.com), November 03, 1999.

From http://www.fbi.gov/library/megiddo/publicmegiddo.pdf

Executive Summary

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The year 2000 is being discussed and debated at all levels of society. Most of the discussions regarding this issue revolve around the topic of technology and our society's overwhelming dependence on the multitude of computers and computer chips which make our world run smoothly. However, the upcoming millennium also holds important implications beyond the issue of computer technology. Many extremist individuals and groups place some significance on the next millennium, and as such it will present challenges to law enforcement at many levels. The significance is based primarily upon either religious beliefs relating to the Apocalypse or political beliefs relating to the New World Order (NWO) conspiracy theory. The challenge is how well law enforcement will prepare and respond.

The following report, entitled "Project Megiddo," is intended to analyze the potential for extremist criminal activity in the United States by individuals or domestic extremist groups who profess an apocalyptic view of the millennium or attach special significance to the year 2000. The purpose behind this assessment is to provide law enforcement agencies with a clear picture of potential extremism motivated by the next millennium. The report does not contain information on domestic terrorist groups whose actions are not influenced by the year 2000.

There are numerous difficulties involved in providing a thorough analysis of domestic security threats catalyzed by the new millennium. Quite simply, the very nature of the current domestic terrorism threat places severe limitations on effective intelligence gathering and evaluation. Ideological and philosophical belief systems which attach importance, and possibly violence, to the millennium have been well-articulated. From a law enforcement perspective, the problem therefore is not a lack of understanding of motivating ideologies: The fundamental problem is that the traditional focal point for counterterrorism analysis -- the terrorist group -- is not always well-defined or relevant in the current environment.

The general trend in domestic extremism is the terrorists disavowal of traditional, hierarchical, and structured terrorist organizations. Even well-established militias, which tend to organize along military lines with central control, are characterized by factionalism and disunity. While several professional terrorist groups still exist and present a continued threat to domestic security, the overwhelming majority of extremist groups in the United States have adopted a fragmented, leaderless structure where individuals or small groups act with autonomy. Clearly, the worst act of domestic terrorism in United States history was perpetrated by merely two individuals: Timothy McVeigh and Terry Nichols. In many cases, extremists of this sort are extremely difficult to identify until after an incident has occurred. Thus, analysis of domestic extremism in which the group serves as the focal point of evaluation has obvious limitations.

The Project Megiddo intelligence initiative has identified very few indications of specific threats to domestic security. Given the present nature of domestic extremism, this is to be expected. However, this is a function of the limitations of the group-oriented model of counterterrorism analysis and should not be taken necessarily as reflective of a minor or trivial domestic threat. Without question, this initiative has revealed indicators of potential violent activity on the part of extremists in this country. Militias, adherents of racist belief systems such as Christian Identity and Odinism, and other radical domestic extremists are clearly focusing on the millennium as a time of action. Certain individuals from these various perspectives are acquiring weapons, storing food and clothing, raising funds through fraudulent means, procuring safe houses, preparing compounds, surveying potential targets, and recruiting new converts. These and other indicators are not taking place in a vacuum, nor are they random or arbitrary. In the final analysis, while making specific predictions is extremely difficult, acts of violence in commemoration of the millennium are just as likely to occur as not. In the absence of intelligence that the more established and organized terrorist groups are planning millennial violence as an organizational strategy, violence is most likely to be perpetrated by radical fringe members of established groups. For example, while Aryan Nations leader Richard Butler publicly frowns on proactive violence, adherents of his religion or individual members of his organization may commit acts of violence autonomously.

Potential cult-related violence presents additional challenges to law enforcement. The potential for violence on behalf of members of biblically-driven cults is determined almost exclusively by the whims of the cult leader. Therefore, effective intelligence and analysis of such cults requires an extensive understanding of the cult leader. Cult members generally act to serve and please the cult leader rather than accomplish an ideological objective. Almost universally, cult leaders are viewed as messianic in the eyes of their followers. Also, the cult leaders prophecies, preachings, orders, and objectives are subject to indiscriminate change. Thus, while analysis of publicly stated goals and objectives of cults may provide hints about their behavior and intentions, it is just as likely to be uninformed or, at worst, misleading. Much more valuable is a thorough examination of the cult leader, his position of power over his followers, and an awareness of the responding behavior and activity of the cult. Sudden changes in activity - for example, less time spent on Bible study and more time spent on physical training - indicate that the cult may be preparing for some type of action.

The millennium holds special significance for many, and as this pivotal point in time approaches, the impetus for the initiation of violence becomes more acute. Several religiously motivated groups envision a quick, fiery ending in an apocalyptic battle. Others may initiate a sustained campaign of terrorism in the United States to prevent the NWO. Armed with the urgency of the millennium as a motivating factor, new clandestine groups may conceivably form to engage in violence toward the U.S. Government or its citizens.

Most importantly, this analysis clearly shows that perceptions matter. The perceptions of the leaders and followers of extremist organizations will contribute much toward the ultimate course of action they choose. For example, in-depth analysis of Y2K compliancy on the part of various key sectors that rely on computers has determined that, despite a generally positive outlook for overall compliance, there will be problem industries and minor difficulties and inconveniences.1 If they occur, these inconveniences are likely to cause varying responses by the extreme fringes. Members of various militia groups, for example, have identified potentially massive power failures as an indication of a United Nations-directed NWO takeover. While experts have indicated that only minor brownouts will occur, various militias are likely to perceive such minor brownouts as indicative of a larger conspiracy.2

The Senate Special Committee on the Year 2000 Technology Problem has stated that some state and local governments could be unprepared, including the inability to provide benefits payments.3 This could have a significant impact in major urban areas, resulting in the possibility for civil unrest. Violent white supremacists are likely to view such unrest as an affirmation of a racist, hate-filled world view. Likewise, militia members who predict the implementation of martial law in response to a Y2K computer failure would become all the more fearful.

1 U.S. Congress, Senate, Special Committee on the Year 2000 Technology Problem, Investigating the Impact of the Year 2000 Problem, February 24, 1996, pp. 1-6.

2 Ibid, p. 3.

3 Ibid. p. 5.

-- Grrr (grrr@grrr.net), November 03, 1999.

Link off (sorry)

-- Grrr (grrr@grrr.net), November 03, 1999.

This is like deja vu. Growing up in the 60's, and being an anti-war protester, meant being on the FBI's "watch 'em" list. Police were trained to suspect people of violence and sedition based solely on age and appearance. I was on the receiving end of tear gas, batons, fists, snarling German Shepherds, verbal abuse and harrassment, while breaking no laws and belonging to no militant or radical groups. Those who are sworn to protect and defend can become vicious when indoctrinated with sufficient fear about potential threats. I thought to never see such times again.

-- (RUOK@yesiam.com), November 03, 1999.

I went to a Y2K meeting yesterday - on how agencies who work with the disabled need to prepare for Y2K. The Tehama County (CA) sheriff said (and I quote) You don't have to worry about Y2K technology-wise. If there ARE any problems, they will be so minor you won't have to worry about them. Banks? I can assure you there won't be a problem with banks. Phones? No problem. Water? No problem. Forseen problems? Human nature - not technological. Unsafe fuel storage. Increase in robberies and burgleries (banks will pay sheriff's office for extra security). Riots and looting.

So... they have set up about a dozen Local Emergency Centers to deal with this non-problem. Sigh. There is no problem with Y2K technology-wise.. it is just US, the people who THINK it is a problem who are the problem.

Gets old doesn't it?

-- Linda (lwmb@psln.com), November 04, 1999.