Social impact question 2

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The "Jo Anne Effect" was predicted to (paraphrasing Mr. Yourdon's words) demonstrate the nature and severity of the coming catastrophic New Year to a world ignoring the "warnings," on or after 990701. How have you explained this to people ("Pollys," "DGIs," "DWGIs") with whom you disagree?

Regards,
Andy Ray



-- Andy Ray (andyman633@hotmail.com), August 04, 1999

Answers

Simple, alot of people think they know what they are talking about and the fact is they don't.

Everytime some other prediction about Y2K falls by the wayside it just makes us all look like fools.

Only 1 day matters, 1/1/2000.

-- Fat Tony (FatTony@youmammashouse.com), August 04, 1999.


Let's just see how the Doomer "experts" have done thus far:

"On January 1, 1999 they will experience many more, and it will be much more difficult to sweep them under the rug. On April 1, 1999 we will all watch anxiously as the governments of Japan and Canada, as well as the state of New York, begin their 1999-2000 fiscal year; at that moment, the speculation about Y2K will end, and we will have tangible evidence of whether governmental computer systems work or not."-- Ed Yourdon

"... I believe we'll start seeing [disruptions] by this summer, and I believe they'll continue for at least a year. As many people are now aware, 46 states (along with Australia and New Zealand) will begin their 1999-2000 fiscal year on July 1, 1999; New York (and Canada) will already have gone through their Y2K fiscal rollover on April 1, and the remaining three states begin their new fiscal year on August 1, September 1, and October 1. We also have the GPS rollover problem to look forward to on August 22nd, as well as the Federal government's new fiscal year on October 1st.

There is, of course, some finite probability that all of these rollover events will occur without any problems; but there's also a finite probability that pigs will learn to fly."

-- Ed "Flying Pig" Yourdon

"So, of course I want to see y2k bring down the system, all over the world. I have hoped for this all of my adult life." -- Gary North

April 1, 1999. On this date, Canada, Japan, and the State of New York begin their fiscal year. This will, of course, include dates beyond Y2K. As a result, planning systems, especially budgets that have not been repaired will fail as they attempt to process Y2K dates. Since New York City is the media capitol of the world, problems there will grab headlines worldwide. Problems in Japan will remind everyone again of how interconnected our world is. The Japanese will also be forced to admit that there systems might not make it. I expect the stock market to react and begin (or continue) its downward spiral. Public confidence will continue to wane and the number of Y2K optimists will continue to dwindle.

July 1, 1999. On this date, forty-four U.S. states begin their fiscal years. The problems that began in New York will now spread exponentially across the country and around the world. The public will feel the global and pervasive nature of the Y2K Problem for the first time. This will be further exacerbated by the fact that many states have not had the resources to adequately address their Millennium Bug problems. Consequently, the failures will be real and widespread.

From the 12 Oct 1998 issue of Westergaard - Michael Hyatt

-- Y2K Pro (y2kpro1@htmail.com), August 04, 1999.


By using very small words, of course! Sometimes they still DGI and just keep asking the same question over and over. Why, kind of like you, Mr. Ray! Your pretty colored font is cute, though. Mmmm mmmm *Wink* *Wink*

-- (T@q.M.S.q), August 04, 1999.

I've said this before, they are in denial. They so want to believe that they are right, that they will not accept things will be alright. So they scream louder and deny more good news... the chant lives on. If they want to get their message out to the DGIs, they really do need a well reasoned campaign, not the Milne or North chatter.

-- Maria (anon@ymous.com), August 04, 1999.

We had the "social impact" question, Andy. Please think of new headers. By the way, hang on for a wild ride. Best.

-- Mara Wayne (MaraWAyne@aol.com), August 04, 1999.


Stephen

I'm leaving Thursday for Birmingham.

Would you like to play a round of Golf?

-- Johnny (JLJTM@BELLSOUTH.NET), August 04, 1999.


-Yes-

-- mchnst (Gunmkr52@aol.com), August 04, 1999.

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