Milne: Officials who last year shrugged Y2K off as a Bump-in-the-Road now predict SEVERE GLOBAL PROBLEMS

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Subject:" Sometimes....Pollyannas Die."
Date:1999/07/21
Author:Paul Milne <fedinfo@halifax.com>
  Posting History Post Reply

Wednesday July 21 5:17 PM ET
 
Y2k Glitch Likely To Disrupt Trade: U.S. Official
Full Coverage
Year 2000 Problem
 
 
 
By Jim Wolf
 
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The 2000 computer glitch is likely to disrupt the worldwide flow of goods and services, perhaps sparking havoc and unrest in some countries, a top State Department official said in remarks prepared for Congress and obtained Wednesday.
 
With less than six months left before the technology-challenging date change, ``the global picture that is slowly emerging is cause for concern,'' said Jacquelyn Williams-Bridgers, the State Department's inspector general.
 
``Our assessments suggest that the global community is likely to experience varying degrees of Y2K-related failures in every sector, in every region and at every economic level,'' she said.
 
In some unnamed countries ``there is a clear risk that electricity, telecommunications and other key systems will fail, perhaps creating economic havoc and social unrest,'' Williams-Bridgers said.
 
In some unnamed countries ``there is a clear risk that electricity, telecommunications and other key systems will fail, perhaps creating economic havoc and social unrest,'' Williams-Bridgers said.
 
She made her comments in written testimony prepared for a hearing on global corporate readiness Thursday before a special Senate panel looking into the problem. An advance copy was obtained by Reuters.
 
``Y2K-related disruptions in the international flow of goods and services are likely,'' she said, adding that ``a breakdown in any part of the supply chain would have a serious impact on the U.S. and world economies.''
 
===============
 
The Stae department, widely known as a source of vicious unsubstantiated gossip and fearmongering says we  may experience  a SERIOUS impact.
 
Now, ask yourselves.... ask yourselves about the word serious in relationship to preparation.  Does it sound incongruent to talk about a SERIOUS impact and then in the same breath talk about preparing for this SERIOUS impact as if it were a what... three day snowstorm?
 
ROTFLMAO ROTFLMAO
 
If it IS serious, the three day snowstorm crap is laughable. By the same token, one can hardly believe that a remediation undertaken by the FEDS costing more than 8 billion dollars could result in something as pathetic as a three day problem if it goes wrong.  Hell, if I screw up the transmission in my twenty year old Chevy, it is more than a three day problem. So don't tell me that a remdiation costing over 8 BBBBILLION dollars can only end up meaning that I might want to have a box of saltines and some Aquafina on hand. (oops! I'm not supposed to know what Aquafina is.)
 
The bottom line is that each day even those entities that shrugged this off two years ago as a bump in the road are NOW talking about sever global problems.
 
There was an episode of 'Friends' once when Ross was searching at the zoo for his pet monkey that he had turned over to them.  The director told him that the monkey was dead. To console Ross, he told him that there is a wise old saying. "Sometimes....Monkeys die. " Well, it wasn't really wise, but it was old!
 
"Sometimes.....pollyannas die"
 
As to the innocents,  I am saddenned. Towards those who stiff-neckedly REFUSED to prepare, EVEN in the event that they might be mistaken ...GOOD RIDDANCE.
 
Yes, good riddance to the echrist'is, flints, egans, brocks, bks's etc etc. Good riddance to those who refused to care for their families because they had such big brains that they did not even prepare for the event that they were mistaken.
 
http://dailynews.yahoo.com/headlines/tc/story.html?s=v/nm/19990721/tc/usa_gl
obal_2.html
Paul Milne



-- a (a@a.a), July 21, 1999

Answers

So we already know this, what do we do after January 2000?

-- WallyB (WallyB@Wally.com), July 21, 1999.

You tell me.

-- a (a@a.a), July 21, 1999.

Paul will continue to prove that he was right about Y2K past January 2000 or will go on to find another subject to raise a stink about. Paul continues to prove Y2K is a bad thing, just wait till that September 11th date comes to pass on Pauls predictions of mass panic.

-- MrWayCool (milnewillcontinue@afterjan2000.com), July 21, 1999.

--a:--Talk to Mr. Ed.

-- WallyB (WallyB@Wally.com), July 21, 1999.

MrWayCool *continues* to be in need of a reality check. Even in *JULY 1999*. Wow, such persistent refusal to read and comprehend, most impressive.

And wassup with you, WallyB? Do you need permission to wipe? Or do you simply want somebody to make a video documentary for you. Hmmm

-- Will continue (farming@home.com), July 22, 1999.



"So we already know this, what do we do after January 2000? "

It depends...

If things are bad, and you prepared, be thankful you prepared.

If things are bad, and you didn't prepare, let BJ Clinton feel your pain.

If things are good, and you prepared, go back to a normal life, consuming your preps.

If things are good, and you didn't prepare make fun of the dumb doomers.

-- Anonymous99 (Anonymous99@Anonymous99.xxx), July 22, 1999.


Yeah, I need a reality check because Im a "DGI" Paul needs the reality check since he moved out to the country because he felt economic collapse was near and this was before he ever heard of Y2K.

But now that he has heard of it, he can be trusted as a leading authority on the subject. Sort of like making David Koresh the head of the Catholic church.

-- MrWayCool (Whatrealitycheck@thedoomkind.com), July 22, 1999.


MrWayCool: George Soros, Paul Voliker, and Japan's leading economist think we're heading for economic collapse also. Paul Milne is in good company I'm afraid.

-- a (a@a.a), July 22, 1999.

---Mr Way Cool look-it what the CIA says about the Problem. I realize you have a problem with Mr Milne. Now tell these folks they're full oh sh*t as well

All countries will be affectedto one degree or anotherby Y2K- related failures. Problems in one country or sector can have widespread consequences because of interdependence between sectors worldwide. The consequences of Y2K failures abroad will range from the relatively benign, such as a localized inability to process credit card purchases, to problems within systems across sectors that will have humanitarian implications such as power loss in mid-winter. We have few indications that countries are undertaking contingency planning for recovery from Y2K failures.

Foreign countries trail the United States in addressing Y2K problems by at least several months, and in many cases much longer. Y2K remediation is underfunded in most countries:

Time and resource constraints will limit the ability of most countries to respond adequately by 2000.

Governments in many countries have begun to plan seriously for Y2K remediation only within the last year, some only in the last few months, and some continue to significantly underestimate the cost and time requirements for remediation and, importantly, testing. Because many countries are way behind, testing of fixes will come late, and unanticipated problems typically arise in this phase.

The largest institutions, particularly those in the financial sectors, are the most advanced in Y2K remediation. Small and medium- size entities trail in every sector worldwide.

Most countries have failed to address aggressively the issue of embedded processors. While recent understanding is that failures here will be less than previously estimated, it is nevertheless the case that failure to address this issue will still cause some highly dependent sectors with complex sensor and processing systems to have problems, centered right on the January 1 date.

The lowest level of Y2K preparedness is evident in Eastern Europe, Russia, Latin America, the Middle East, Africa, and several Asian countries, including China. Global linkages in telecommunications, financial systems, air transportation, the manufacturing supply chain, oil supplies, and trade mean that Y2K problems will not be isolated to individual countries, and no country will be immune from failures in these sectors.

http://www.cia.gov/cia/public_affairs/speeches/nic_speech_012099.html

-- kevin (innxxs@yahoo.com), July 22, 1999.


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