RECENT AND POST PEOPLE POLLS: WHO THINKS WHAT AND HOW MANY

greenspun.com : LUSENET : TimeBomb 2000 (Y2000) : One Thread

+++ VARIOUS RECENT POLLS ON THE WEB +++

YARDENI PEOPLE POLLS (FROM ONE OF THE MOST RESPECTED ECONOMISTS IN THE WORLD)

DATE: May 24, 1999 11:50 AM EST

1) Rate the economic impact of Y2K (8864 Total Votes):

Minor disruptions. Business as usual (1586) 18%

Same impact as natural disaster. Business as usual within a few weeks. (1248) 14% Multiple problems will cause modest 6 month recession. (2093) 24%

Major global recession lasting 12-24 months. (2638) 30% Depression lasting 2-5 years. (1299) 15% 2)How much extra cash do you plan to have on Jan. 1, 2000? (4262 Total Votes)

No extra cash. (554) 13% One to four weeks more than usual. (1418) 33% One to three months more than usual. (1243) 29% More than three months of extra cash. (1047) 25% (3) Over the next 12 months, which asset will offer the best return? (3154 Total Votes)

Stocks (711) 23% Bonds (573) 18% Cash (563) 18% Gold & other commodities (1075) 34% Real estate (232) 7% (4) What is the outlook for the US economy over the next 12 months? (2908 Total Votes)

Very good. (344) 12% Good. (547) 19% OK. (791) 27% Bad. (891) 31% Very bad. (335) 12%

(5) Forecast economic growth (real GDP). (2239 Total Votes)

The economy will be booming over the next 12 months. (187) 8% The economy will grow moderately over the next 12 months. (750) 33% Economic growth will be close to zero over the next 12 months. (395) 18% A mild recession is likely within 12 months. (455) 20% A severe recession is likely within 12 months. (452) 20%

(6) Forecast the change in uemployment over the next 12 months (1954 Total Votes):

Increase (1293) 66% Decrease (326) 17% Unchanged (335) 17% (7) Forecast the CPI inflation rate over the next 12 months (2134 Total Votes)

It will be higher. (950) 45% It will be lower. (197) 9% It will be the same as now. (413) 19% It will be close to zero. (161) 8% Deflation is likely. Prices will be falling. (413) 19% ...

SB CONSULTING

http://www.sbconsulting.com

Question: When will your organization be Y2K Compliant?

DATE: May 24, 1999 11:50 AM EST

Already compliant: 44.44%

Don't know: 33.33%

By Jul 99: 22.22%

By Jan 99: 0.00%

By Dec 99: 0.00%

...

Y2K UPDATE REPORT COMMUNITY POLL

http://www.y2kupdatereport.com/#poll

Question: What are you planning to do in your community to prepare for Y2K?

Results Date: May 24, 1999 11:54 AM EST

Nada. I'm on vacation that week. (243) 19% Set up a fortress in my house. (313) 24% Work with my community in a practical manner. (407) 31% Head for the Hills. (174) 13% Form my own community action group/plan/committee. (161) 12%

-- Stan Faryna (info@giglobal.com), May 24, 1999

Answers

+++VARIOUS PAST POLLS ON THE WEB+++

CNNFN POLL

http://cgi.cnnfn.com/cgi-bin/poll_new/gen_poll.cgi/analyze_me?hiddenPo llName=Y2KFears128&userEmail=&submitButton=Finished+-+Submit+survey

DATE: NOT GIVEN

Question: A global economic collapse? A worldwide technological blackout? Or will the biggest problem caused by the Millennium Bug be the inability to tape the Rose Bowl? Of all the predictions of Y2K-related mayhem, which of the following do you think are likely to occur?

1. Air traffic control systems will fail and planes will fall from the sky.

total responses to this question: 14628

No 89.49% Yes 10.51%

2. Prison cell doors will swing open.

total responses to this question: 14584

No 93.10% Yes 6.90%

3. ATMs will not accept deposits, or dispense cash.

total responses to this question: 14574

No 59.76% Yes 40.24%

4. The Internet will crash, along with telephone systems.

total responses to this question: 14574

No 75.72% Yes 24.28%

5. Computerized shipments of goods, such as food to grocery stores or medicines to hospitals and pharmacies, will be delayed. total responses to this question: 14614

Yes 60.74% No 39.26%

6. Government checks such as Social Security or military pensions will be delayed. total responses to this question: 14573

No 54.18% Yes 45.82%

7. Millions of older PCs, at schools, in small business and in homes will cease to function. total responses to this question: 14608

Yes 53.63% No 46.37%

8. VCR programming will not work.

total responses to this question: 14505

No 59.44% Yes 40.56%

9. Finally, the so-called "Y2K crisis" or "The Millennium Bug" will be:

total responses to this question: 14624

The biggest non-event of the year 68.62% The biggest event of the year 31.38%

...

ZDDN 1998 Y2K POLL

http://www.zdnet.com/zdnn/stories/zdnn_smgraph_display/1,4436,2146228, 00.html

DATE: October 7, 1998

84% expressed a partial or complete understanding of Y2K problems.

61% expect serious problems for themselves and their families.

80% plan to stockpile food, fuel, batteries, and candles.

60% are considering avoid air travel and withdrawing money from the banks.

25% are considering withdrawing all their money from banks.

75% reported that their companies were doing something about Y2K.

-- Stan Faryna (info@giglobal.com), May 24, 1999.


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