This link has some specific estimates I don't think I've seen anywhere else before:

http://www.cnnfn.com/digitaljam/9905/03/y2k_solution/

[snip]

Although most people expect the worst to happen when the clock strikes midnight on New Year's Eve, Gartner has determined that only 10 percent of the anticipated Y2K-related failures will occur within the two weeks surrounding the new year. Rather, a sizable chunk of millennium-bug failures will happen in July and October this year.

"In July, we'll have 80 times more six-month date-forward processing than in any period before 2000," Marcoccio said. Those transactions include parts ordering from manufacturers and diagnostic health data.

"In October, that figure goes up to 800 times," he added. "There is more first-quarter date-forward processing transactions -- things like financials, accounts receivable, parts procurement, shipping."

Furthermore, things will only get worse in 2000. Marcoccio estimated that 55 percent of all Y2K-related failures will occur in the first three quarters of the new year.

"We'll have millions of transactions running later in 2000 that have never been run before," Marcoccio said.

-- by staff writer John Frederick Moore

[snip]

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-- Kevin (mixesmusic@worldnet.att.net), May 05, 1999

Answers

So. . .now we've gone from Gartner's estimate that 60 percent of failures would happen before the rollover, to a new estimate that 55 percent will happen during the first three quarters of 2000?

What to make of THAT?

:)

-- FM (vidprof@aol.com), May 05, 1999.

3% here, 5% there, pretty soon it begins to add up to real errors.

(Appologies to Ev Dirksen)

Chuck

-- chuck, a Night Driver (rienzoo@en.com), May 05, 1999.

Chuck

LOL...Ev would roll over...

-- Mike Lang (webflier@erols.com), May 05, 1999.